作者：章易
链接：
https://www.zhihu.com/question/60299201/answer/174590842
来源：知乎
著作权归作者所有，转载请联系作者获得授权。
因为中央军委装备发展部部长张又侠上将的个人趣味，PLA下一代自动步枪将采用传统的有托布局；尽管改进自95-1式步枪的无托样枪在性能上优于最初的有托样枪，但是在领导确定的大方向下，也不可能被采用。
又据枪炮世界站长所说，因为没有竞争对手，已经可以确定是山寨的Masada。我个人猜测是重庆建设工业公司的产品。至于那几款已经在互联网上传开了照片的样枪，早就被淘汰了；被淘汰的原因就是性能不足，而非所谓的“泄密”——难道仅仅因为“泄密”就必须用性能不好的设计吗？
考虑到近年来PLA在常规部队搞5.8mm大一统，新枪应该没有继承Masada的多口径转换功能。其实就算PLA没有全盘淘汰53式步机弹，兼容中口径子弹需要更加臃肿的机匣（例如美军Mk.17 Mod0步枪的“通用下机匣”），向来严格卡住尺寸指标的PLA恐怕无法接受。
兵工厂已经在准备量产新枪了。加拿大的一个武器供应商向中国军企订购一批民用版81式步枪，被告知该厂和其他兵工厂在未来两到三年将只生产PLA准备全面换装的一款尚未公开的模块化步枪。
以下节选自那个供应商在论坛上的原话：
We have been informed the production plan for 2017 was developed and the T81 production run was officially scheduled for this July. The factory has a 50 million dollar government contract for AK’s that has to be produced first. They are on maximum capacity with nothing else being produced until this is finished. Once this is done however, we are first on the list. While all of this may seem like bad news, we are lucky for a number of reasons:
1) If the contract for 30k T81’s didn’t come in last year, we could be waiting even longer for the factory to justify a production run.
2) The Chinese military will be re-arming their service rifles with a new unannounced modular rifle. We have been told that the factory (among others) will only producing rifles for the re-armament for next 2-3 years, then you can imagine the backlog of orders to fulfill after that. This means that this could be the only T81 production run in the next 3+ years, likely even longer.
来源：Norinco Type 81 Classified as Non Restricted !!! [Archive]
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